The Phoenix Score is a weekly 0 to 100 reading of Bitcoin opportunity. At 0, conditions favor caution. At 100, conditions favor maximum deployment. Most weeks it sits somewhere in between, guiding how much you deploy rather than whether you deploy at all.
The score is built on four components: valuation, holder behavior, institutional flows, and macro trend. Each contributes a portion of the final number. The result is a single, actionable read on where the cycle stands.
It updates every Tuesday after the Macro Engine reads the underlying signals. Free and public. No login required.
The score pulls from the same eight signals that power the Phoenix Macro dashboard. Each signal feeds one of four components. Each component contributes to the final score.
The four components combine into a single 0 to 100 number. Each week the inputs update, the score recalculates, and the reading changes.
The score maps to five bands. Each band has a name and a corresponding deployment posture.
The Fear and Greed Index is the most widely used Bitcoin sentiment indicator. It measures how people feel: social media momentum, search trends, price volatility, market dominance. When people are scared it reads low. When people are greedy it reads high.
The Phoenix Score measures what is actually happening on-chain. Realized prices, holder behavior, capital flows, long-term moving averages. These reflect actual coin movement and capital decisions, not opinions or emotions.
The difference matters for one reason: sentiment can flip in a single day based on a tweet or a headline. On-chain data moves slower and is harder to fake. A long-term holder selling after years of accumulation is a real signal. A spike in Google searches for Bitcoin is not.
Fear and Greed tells you how the market feels. Phoenix Score tells you where the cycle stands. They answer different questions. One is a mood reading. The other is a structural read.
The Phoenix Score is not a buy or sell signal. It is a deployment guide. The question it answers is not whether to buy Bitcoin, but how much to deploy this week relative to your normal pace.
In practice, the score works alongside a fixed weekly DCA. Your fixed DCA never stops. It runs every week regardless of the score. The score determines whether you deploy additional capital from tactical or crash reserves on top of that base.
When the score is in NEUTRAL or CAUTION, you deploy your fixed amount and nothing more. When the score reaches BUY, you consider deploying additional tactical reserve. When it reaches MAX BUY, you deploy the maximum your strategy allows.
This structure keeps you consistent in normal conditions and aggressive when the data says the odds are in your favor. The score removes the emotional decision. You do not need to decide whether now is a good time. The data decides for you.
The Phoenix Score is published every Tuesday at the Phoenix Score page. Free, public, no login required. Phoenix Macro Pro users see the same score inside their dashboard, alongside personal allocator recommendations calibrated to their specific monthly budget and reserve strategy.
The score page shows the current reading, the score band, the cycle position, and the four underlying components. It is updated automatically each week after the Macro Engine runs.